Trump, AI, Iran, and Crypto

Trump orders agencies to dump Anthropic after Pentagon dispute

Good Morning,

Here's a quick preview of today’s content: South Korea’s tax office leaks wallet seed and loses $4.8M, Minnesota weighs total ban on crypto ATMs, Banking giant Barclays mulls crypto payments push, DOJ seized $580M in crypto from Chinese criminals, JPMorgan says crypto market bill could be approved by mid-year, and so much more

Happy Monday - Let’s dive in.

Market Snapshot

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  • Bitcoin whipsaws as US-Israel airstrikes on Iran trigger war-driven volatility

    • BTC tops $68,000 after Iran confirms leader killed in strikes, recovering from weekend plunge

    • ETH, SOL, and XRP surge up to +10% recovering Saturday's war-driven losses, while XRP later tumbles -9% and SOL, DOGE drop -6%

    • BTC ETFs snap 5-week outflow run with $1.1B inflows over three days

  • Bitcoin manipulation claims face pushback as tepid recovery continues despite geopolitical turmoil

Prediction Markets

  • Bettors on Polymarket are predicting next Supreme Leader of Iran?

  • Track and trade live odds on any event, only on Polymarket

Headline Roundup
The major headlines driving crypto markets

  • Trump orders agencies to dump Anthropic after Pentagon dispute (DC)

  • Senators urge DOJ to probe Binance's illicit finance controls (TB)

  • Morgan Stanley files for bank charter to custody crypto (TB)

  • JPMorgan says crypto market bill could be approved by mid-year (TB)

  • Trump Media weighs Truth Social spinoff following crypto moves (DC)

  • Judge blocks Binance bid to force crypto claims into arbitration (TB)

  • Banking giant Barclays mulls crypto payments push (DC)

  • SpaceX’s $780M bitcoin stack now down to $545M (CD)

  • DOJ seized $580M in crypto from Chinese criminals (DC)

  • X to label paid promos but prohibits crypto promos in EU (CT)

  • World Liberty ties voting power to staking as supply tops $4.7B (CD)

  • Polymarket Iran bets hit $529M as new wallets win big (BBG)

  • Suspected insider wallets rack up $1.2M on Axiom’s exposure (CT)

  • Kalshi CEO defends Khamenei market design after backlash (TB)

  • Vitalik Buterin lays out plan to overhaul Ether's execution (TB)

  • Crypto treasury companies likely to consolidate in 2026 (CD)

  • Strategy lifts dividend to 11.5% (CD)

  • TeraWulf misses Q4 estimates as mining revenue falls (CT)

  • Sora-backed Bitplanet reaches 300 BTC (BM)

  • Magic Eden pulls plug on Bitcoin and Ether support (DC)

  • Pantera and Franklin Templeton join Sentient to test AI (CT)

Venture Capital

  • Japanese yen stablecoin issuer JPYC raises $114M Series B led by Asteria Corp with participation from JR West Japan Innovations, directX Ventures and several others (PT)

  • Digital infrastructure startup Zetrix secures $40M financing from the World Bank’s investment arm (FK)

Access the complete VC deal flow on Fundable.

Launches

  • MoonPay unveils framework for stablecoins tied to PayPal (TB)

  • Backpack offers equity to users that stake its token (DC)

  • Alchemy introduces autonomous payment rails for AI agents (CT)

Regulation

  • Minnesota weighs total ban on crypto ATMs (DC)

  • Spain pushes for launch of digital euro to curb US reliance (BBG)

  • UK gambling regulator weighs crypto payments for online betting (CD)

  • Coinbase says states are 'gaslighting' on prediction markets (CD)

  • Online broker says Poland’s crypto gridlock risks expansion (BBG)

Cybersecurity

  • Former Mt. Gox CEO proposes hard fork to recover $5.2B (TB)

  • South Korea’s tax office leaks wallet seed and loses $4.8M (DC)

  • Tether froze $4.2B in tokens tied to illicit activity (CT)

  • Two arrested after South Korean police lose $1.4M in Bitcoin (CT)

  • AI tool catches Ledger bug that could have drained wallets (CD)

Extra Reads

Chart of the Day

Panic selling accelerates amid rising tensions between the US and Iran

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