Prediction Market Meets Palantir

Polymarket taps Palantir for sports betting AI monitoring tool

Good Morning,

Here's a quick preview of today’s content: Fake police hold French couple at knifepoint in $1M Bitcoin robbery, Senators try to unlock stalled Clarity Act with compromise, Elon Musk's X Money app nears public launch, Trump meme coin down -96% as president's approval ratings sink, Goldman Sachs emerges as top XRP ETF holder, and so much more

Happy Wednesday - Let’s dive in.

Market Snapshot

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  • Bitcoin tops $71,000 as oil drops under $80 and Iran conflict fears wane with Trump signaling war nearing end

    • BTC ETFs add $167M while SOL ETFs attracted $540M in Q4

    • Traders snap up 600K BTC during dip as stablecoin market hits $312B

    • Total crypto market cap rises +3% to $2.49T as ETH, SOL, and XRP jump higher

  • Dollar and oil weaken following Trump's amplified Iran threats, though Fed rate cut chances fall near zero

Prediction Markets

  • Bettors on Polymarket are predicting what will Bitcoin outperform in March?

  • Track and trade live odds on any event, only on Polymarket

Headline Roundup
The major headlines driving crypto markets

  • Lawmakers probe Trump family firm over Chinese stock scams (CT)

  • Polymarket taps Palantir for sports betting AI monitoring tool (DC)

  • Trump meme coin down -96% as president's approval ratings sink (DC)

  • Nasdaq moves closer to 'always on' with tokenization plan (BBG)

  • Senators try to unlock stalled Clarity Act with compromise (CD)

  • Trump's DOJ seeks retrial for Tornado Cash developer (DC)

  • Goldman Sachs emerges as top XRP ETF holder (TB)

  • Netflix censors Bitcoin sponsors during Jake Paul fight (BM)

  • Elon Musk's X Money app nears public launch (DC)

  • A single crypto trader sits on $194M Bitcoin and Ether bet (CD)

  • Bitwise CIO reiterates bitcoin price could reach $1M (TB)

  • Winklevoss twins move $130M in Bitcoin to hot wallets (DC)

  • Aave sees rare $27M liquidations after a price glitch (CD)

  • Vitalik Buterin pushes to simplify Ethereum validator setup (CD)

  • Babylon and Ledger target use of bitcoin as DeFi collateral (TB)

  • Amazon wins court order blocking Perplexity shopping agent (DC)

  • South Korean prosecutors sell $21.5M in seized bitcoin (TB)

  • Bitmine moves $19.5M in ETH to Coinbase Prime (CD)

  • Blackstone-owned AirTrunk secures $1.24B loan for data center (CT)

  • Survey finds consumers support stablecoin yield limits tied to banking risk (TB)

  • Basketball.fun processes refunds as Tristan Thompson departs (DC)

  • BitGo provides custody for StableX’s $100M stablecoin plan (CT)

M&A Announcements

  • Meta acquires Moltbook, a social network designed for AI agents (DC)

Launches

  • Kraken's tokenized stock venue starts points program (CD)

  • Circle launches nanopayments on testnet (TD)

  • Societe Generale launches EURCV stablecoin on Stellar (CT)

  • Starknet deploys framework for privacy stablecoins (TB)

  • Trust Wallet launches scam address checks for users (TB)

  • Blockstream’s hardware wallet adds lightning network support (BM)

Regulation

  • Congress gets closer to permanently banning Fed CBDC (TB)

  • CFTC chair backs blockchain-based prediction markets (CT)

  • Treasury report identifies technology to counter crypto crime (TD)

  • Kalshi suffers court loss in Ohio over sports betting lawsuit (CT)

  • UK fraud strategy paints crypto as growing risk (DC)

Cybersecurity

  • Fake police hold French couple at knifepoint in $1M Bitcoin robbery (DC)

  • Crypto hack losses fall -87% as scammers shift to phishing (FM)

  • Thailand crypto platforms freeze 10K accounts in AML crackdown (CT)

Extra Reads

Chart of the Day

Ethereum addresses, transfers, and smart contract activity are at all-time highs

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*DISCLAIMER: Investment advice provided by Autopilot advisers LLC, an SEC registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investing carries risks including the risk of the loss of principal. Performance doesn’t include fees. See more here.